Resources
Fortnightly briefings for breweries, pub groups and licensees — what is moving UK wholesale prices, what it means for your bills, and where supplier risk is building.
12th June 2026
Renewed Israel–Iran strikes and attacks on US Gulf bases keep a conflict premium in gas, Cornwall Insight's first October forecast edges above the July cap, and electricity decouples as network charges climb.
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29th May 2026
Fresh US–Iran strikes spike UK gas prices, Ofgem confirms a 13% July cap rise weighted to gas, and European storage stays tight heading into summer refill.
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14th May 2026
US–Iran ceasefire close to collapse, Qatar LNG halt persists, and TNUoS now dominates the standing charge on most business electricity bills.
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1st May 2026
US blockade of Iranian ports keeps oil costs above gas and power; UK electricity is decoupling from gas, but pubs near renewal should consider fixing now.
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16th April 2026
Commodity costs ease back from the peak but stay well above pre-conflict levels; EU coordinated LNG buying will keep summer storage demand strong.
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26th March 2026
Iran deadline extended to 6 April with the Strait still closed; gas prices stay elevated and the 1 April TNUoS hike compounds the move.
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12th March 2026
US and Israeli strikes on Iran keep the Strait of Hormuz closed; commodity costs spike, sharpening the case for fixing contracts near renewal.
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26th February 2026
Iran briefly closes the Strait of Hormuz; the 1 April TNUoS rise will add roughly £1,150-£3,400+ per site depending on consumption band.
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12th February 2026
Sudden Stratospheric Warming threatens a late-winter cold snap, and April's TNUoS hike is set to land on standing charges — including "fixed" contracts.
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29th January 2026
Arctic cold cuts US LNG output by 20%, European reserves drain faster than usual, and a US-Iran flashpoint puts the Strait of Hormuz on watch.
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8th January 2026
Europe rides out a cold snap and the Venezuela disruption with prices softening — a clear signal of market confidence and secure supply.
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11th December 2025
Record LNG deliveries and milder weather drive a 10% commodity drop, but Ruby Energy's sales tactics show supplier conduct hasn't improved.
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20th November 2025
Strong LNG deliveries hold reserves stable and contract rates ease, while EDF, Pozitive, Smartest and Ruby continue to obstruct changes of tenancy.
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6th November 2025
Mild winter forecast eases the price risk; Tomato Energy fails on 5 November leaving 8,000 business customers awaiting Ofgem's supplier-of-last-resort decision.
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2nd October 2025
Stable commodity costs with a softer outlook into 2026-27, though rising non-commodity charges will continue to mute any electricity bill relief.
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18th September 2025
Geopolitics shifts as China leans on Russian pipeline gas, but supply stays balanced; non-commodity charges set to cap any further electricity falls.
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4th September 2025
Sanctions threats fade and autumn storage looks comfortable, but new nuclear-funding levies are about to push electricity non-commodity costs higher.
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14th August 2025
Trump-Putin Alaska summit dominates the week as commodity costs soften and EU/UK gas storage rebuilds ahead of winter.
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31st July 2025
June Israel-Iran spike eases back, but Trump's Russia sanctions threat and below-average UK gas reserves keep risk premium high through autumn.
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